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Does an efficient calibrated forecasting strategy exist?

Does an efficient calibrated forecasting strategy exist?

This video was recorded at 24th Annual Conference on Learning Theory (COLT), Budapest 2011. We recall two previously-proposed notions of asymptotic calibration for a forecaster making a sequence of probability predictions. We note that the existence of efficient algorithms for calibrated forecasting holds only in the case of binary outcomes. We pose the question: do there exist such efficient algorithms for the general (non-binary) case?... Show More
Keywords:
videolectures, ocwc, oec
Disciplines:
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More about this material

Material Type:
Presentation
Date Added to MERLOT:
February 8, 2015
Date Modified in MERLOT:
February 8, 2015
Author:
Submitter:
The Open Education Consortium
Primary Audience:
College General Ed, College Lower Division, College Upper Division
Technical Format:
Video
Mobile Compatibility:
Not specified at this time
Language:
English
Cost Involved:
No
Source Code Available:
No
Creative Commons:
Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 3.0 United States

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