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Marriage Rates and Marriageable Men: A Test of the Wilson Hypothesis on JSTOR

Marriage Rates and Marriageable Men: A Test of the Wilson Hypothesis on JSTOR

This article examines the hypothesis that recent declines in black marriage rates have been driven by a declining pool of high-earning, young black men. Using 1970 and 1980 SMSA-level Census data to estimate a fixed-effect model of black marriage rates, I find that declines in the pool of "marriageable" black men are responsible for only a small fraction of the decline in black marriage rates. My estimates suggest that this decline in the number...

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