The COVID-19 Simulator website has a collection of tools to help health policymakers and practitioners make decisions regarding policy, and strategy related to coronavirus disease 2019. Thes include the following simulators: COVID-19 Policy Simulator, COVID-19 Immunity Tracker, COVID-19 Outbreak Tool, and the COVID-19 2020 Football Tracker.
Type of Material:
Simulation
Recommended Uses:
For use in class, or as part of an assignment outside of class.
Technical Requirements:
None.
Identify Major Learning Goals:
The COVID-19 Simulator is set of tools designed to help policymakers decide how to respond to the novel coronavirus.
The tools can be used to explore the impact of different social-distancing interventions (by varying their intensity and timing) to reduce the spread of coronavirus.
The information presented can help policymakers understand consequences such as the rate of new cases, potential strain on the healthcare system, and projected deaths.
The tools are useful in educational contexts to allow inquiry-based activities.
Target Student Population:
High School, Home school, College General Ed, College Lower Division, College Upper Division, STEM classes, Graduate School, Professional
The tools are flexible, wide-ranging, and successfully model real-world scenarios
National and State-level COVID policy analyses are allowed along with a State-by-State comparison (up to 10 states)
An outbreak tool with doubling times and average daily cases in every county in the US is provided
A seroprevalence tracker (estimated from either or both vaccine or natural immunity is provided
A tool that associates outbreaks with NFL and NCAA football events is provided
Documentation of the policy model is provided
The policy simulator allows the user to vary the variant (current, ancestral, Delta, or a custom) each of which inputs an appropriate basic reproduction number
Users can vary vaccine effectiveness
Users can set interventions to include minimal, current, stay-at-home orders, or lock-down over the next 16 weeks, which can be divided into two different interventions
Up to three different 16 week strategies can be compared in an analysis
Analyses produce 9 outputs, each with a clear explanation, including:
Cumulative number of COVID-19 deaths
Number of new COVID-19 deaths each day
Cumulative number of diagnosed COVID-19 cases
Cumulative number of COVID-19 cases (diagnosed and undiagnosed)
Number of new COVID-19 cases diagnosed each day
Number of new COVID-19 cases each day (diagnosed and undiagnosed)
Number of active COVID-19 cases
Number of hospital beds needed for COVID-19
Number of ICU beds needed for COVID-19
Outputs are given as clear graphs, where the Y-axis can be renders as linear or log and the values on the Y-axis can be rendered as the appropriate scale or per 100,000 scale
Can easily be modified to include other potential emerging viruses in the future
Concerns:
Omicron is not mentioned and it is not clear whether "current variants" models omicron, however, the user can set the variant model to "custom combination" and set the R0 to whatever value they deem appropriate
The program may run slow on some computers (e.g., MacBook Air, M1, 16GB memory)
Potential Effectiveness as a Teaching Tool
Rating:
Strengths:
Due to the great adaptability and the many settings the user can control, the policy simulator provides an excellent opportunity for students to engage in inquiry learning
A user guide provide clear instructions and explanations for users
The output can be downloaded as a .zip file, which expands to a folder with .html files of all graphs, .csv files with associated data, a .pdf file of the timeline, and a .txt Read Me; the .html files are easy to convert to other file types and annotate
Hovering the mouse pointer over a line on an output graph will give the data for any day of the simulation
The tools are licensed as Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial, allowing instructors to legally use them in courses
Very valuable tool for student learning
Outfile type is in a file type that students are familiar with
The tool is easy to integrate in to Learning Manegement Systems as an assignment
Concerns:
None.
Ease of Use for Both Students and Faculty
Rating:
Strengths:
Users will find the interface largely intuitive and user friendly with graphical representations
All buttons and sliders worked as intended
The interactive maps are sizeable and easy to use
Analyses were quick to calculate and download
The tool is fun and imersive
Results are easy to understand and interperet
Concerns:
Accessibility information is not included
Other Issues and Comments:
This simulator is a collaboration between Boston Medical Center, Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School, and Georgia Tech, much of the work done by students and trainees
May be can be modified to include information on viruses like influenza and how they were effected in the presence of Covid Pandemic.
Is there a way to integrate conspiracy theories/pseudoscience and how they play a role in a pandamic like this?
Creative Commons:
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